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European stock markets wrapped up the week on a positive note, supported by stable interest rates and a strong rebound in the financial sector following last week's significant declines.
By Trackinsight
June 24, 2024
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The week's trading concluded with gains across major European indices. In Paris, the CAC 40 saw an increase of 1.67%, while Germany's Dax climbed 0.90%. The Euro Stoxx 50 index also rose by 1.41%, and Italy's FTSE MIB notched a 1.97% gain. These upward movements were primarily driven by a calmer outlook on interest rates and a robust performance from the financial sector.
Investors in the Eurozone have cautiously returned to risky assets, reassured by the successful French Treasury bond auction and the stabilization of the yield spread between France and Germany. This spread slid back to around 74 basis points from over 82 basis points the previous Friday.
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This increase in spreads had marked the highest level since February 2017, largely due to uncertainties surrounding the upcoming legislative elections in France, scheduled for June 30 and July 7. That said, the increase in the risk premium on French debt is not dramatic in the current state.
It amounted to 47 basis points in early June. France benefits, in principle, from the European Central Bank's anti-fragmentation protection, specifically the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI). However, this protection is subjected to the ECB agreeing to intervene if French rates were to soar, as this type of aid is conditioned on compliance with European rules.
The financial sector emerged as one of the top performers in the European markets this week, with banks experiencing a partial recovery after the severe losses suffered in mid-June. The Euro Stoxx Financials Index was up 2.12% for the week after losing 6.59% the previous week. This resurgence contributed to the overall market growth.
Even though investors remain cautious, the economic programs put forward by the main French political parties are considered so costly that the markets seem convinced that they cannot be implemented in a context of already extremely deteriorated public finances.
Please note this article is for information purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice. It is essential that you seek advice from a registered financial professional prior to making any investment decision.
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