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Global ETF Survey 2026

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Global ETF Survey 2026
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Moving Markets

U.S. Treasury yields rise for the fifth straight week

Fixed income recap for the week of February 20 to 26, 2023.

Philippe Malaise

By Philippe Malaise
February 27, 2023

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Expectations for further rate hikes pushed Treasury yields higher. They now reach levels not seen in three months. The 10-year benchmark rate hit its highest level since Nov. 9 (3.95%). The 2-year yield, meanwhile, rose to 4.78%. Yield curve inversion (-83 basis points) is deepening, leading to heightened concerns about a possible U.S. recession. Furthermore, the Fed decreased its balance sheet by $51 billion over the last three weeks, and almost $170 billion since the beginning of the year. The unwinding of its balance sheet drains liquidity, which also drives yields higher. 

In Europe, the yield on the German 10-year Bund gained 10 basis points to 2.54% from 2.44%. The French OAT yield moved up in unison (+10 basis points at 3.01%). 

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The corporate bond market retreated as investors' risk appetite was waning.

Investment grade corporate bond prices were down 0.62% in Europe (IBOXX € Liquid Corporates index up 0.75% year-to-date) and down 1.18% in the U.S. (IBOXX Ishares $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index up 0.43% YTD). 

High-yield bonds slid 0.41% in Europe (IBOXX € Liquid High Yield Index up +2.97% YTD) while they edged down 0.11% in the U.S. (Markit iBoxx USD Liquid High Yield Capped Index up +1.48% YTD). Emerging debt dropped 0.47% (+1.11% YTD), weighed again by a strong greenback. The dollar index topped 105.25 (+1.35% over the week). 

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